Connecting people with nature in Ontario's Mississippi Valley
Mississippi River at Pakenham

Global Warming

“A look at climate sensitive aspects of the natural environment, their variability and change through time in the Mississippi Valley area”

Introduction to climate change awareness at MVFN

TulipsNot so long ago we spoke of climate change in the context of geological time scales i.e. thousands of years. However, today it is apparent that climate is changing in Canada and around the world, at rates that are detectable within decades. A graph of national long-term temperature averages since 1948 is shown at the bottom of this page.

Although there is much to be learned about climate change, increasing evidence suggests that in the past 50 years or so, increases in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, due in part to human activity, is a major contributor to climate change http://www.ipcc.ch. If the trend toward global warming continues, there will be a significant impact on our natural environment and the infrastructure of our communities.

Environment Canada - Summaer Temperature Trends 1948-2005Canada is a signatory to the United Nations Framework on Climate Change and the Kyoto Accord, and has a national climate change program in place to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and prepare the country to adapt to future climate changes. The province of Ontario is also involved in emission reduction activities and is also a signatory to the National Adaptation Framework. However, there is little specific information on possible impacts of future climate change in our own local area of the Mississippi Valley and Eastern Ontario. This information is useful if we are to understand consequences of climate change for our area and to begin discussion and planning for adaptation to change.

The natural environment which we enjoy and which fills us with such wonder, faces amazing challenges. By examining features of our natural world which might be climate sensitive and which might be undergoing changes here “in our own back yard”, MVFN hopes to create an interesting learning experience which should help us understand and adapt to the future climate changes.

To get the ball rolling, MVFN started exploration of climate change during the 2005-06 speaker series which focused on the theme “Change in our Natural World” . This series presented important background information on changes in climate, nature, and the environment.We also began collecting data on aspects of the local and natural environment that may be climate sensitive. We hope to continue to involve members as well as the public and groups in the community in observing changes in local phenomena, and in recording and sharing the information.

In the fall of 2005 we began the Alberts Gardens project by planting tulip bulbs across several hardiness zones to compare emergence dates in the spring. Read about Alberts Tulip Gardens. The Alberts Gardens project was conducted in collaboration with several Eastern Ontario horticultural societies and the National Capital Commission who generously supplied bulbs. In the spring of 2006 Alberts Gardens began to bloom and we posted emergence and bloom dates on our tulip indicator map .

MVFN’s Plant Watch – wildflowers

In the spring of 2006 MVFN began recording the first bloom date for area wildflowers at a variety of locations. Results will be tabulated and posted later in the summer or when available. These can be used to compare with results in the coming years, as part of our climate change awareness project.

A group of MVFN members took the first step by selecting the wildflower species to watch. These include plants representing a variety of preferred habitats. Read more about MVFN’s Plant Watch and details for participants.

Lake and River water-temperature survey of the Mississippi Watershed

Held on the August holiday weekend August 5-7, 2006, this project was the first ever volunteer-driven water-temperature survey of the entire watershed. Read about the project and print out guidelines for participants and reporting forms.

Background information on the climate change awareness project

Brought forward to the Board of Directors of the Mississippi Valley Field Naturalists in the summer of 2005, the Climate Change Awareness project began shortly thereafter through the efforts of members of a dedicated Climate Change Awareness Committee, including Paul Egginton as Chair of the newly formed Committee, Cliff Bennett, Michael Macpherson, and Lorri McKay, and subsequently other members have served on the committee.

An overview of national and international perspective on climate change was the first topic of the 2005-06 speaker series “Change in our Natural World”. This was presented on September 22, 2005 by Paul Egginton, who introduced the scientific, environmental, social, economic, issues associated with climate change. New to the Board of Directors of MVFN, Egginton also introduced for the first time his concept for a Climate Change Awareness project at MVFN. Then MVFN president, Mike Macpherson, invited members and others to consider participating by sharing locally collected data and/or observing and reporting information on various features of the natural world which are likely to show change in response to climate change.

A number of features or `indicators’ could be subjects for observation under this project. Examples include dates of first and last frost, ice-on and ice-off water bodies, birds over wintering and arrival dates; emergence and bloom dates of wildflowers. Other data such as water flow regime in rivers and streams, ice thickness on lakes, depth of frost penetration are also possible features which could be studied to give us a better picture as to whether climate change is having an impact here.

The intention is to look at a number of familiar ‘indicators’ from the natural environment, make observations using simple protocols, and report and share the results. Contextual information could be drawn from government data bases; supplemented, we hope, by personal records by MVFN members and others in the community over the years. Thus, current local observations could be placed into a broader chronological, topical, and geographical framework.

MVFN’s goal for this outreach project is to raise awareness of the climate sensitive nature of our natural environment and to help develop a better understanding of whether change is currently taking place. We hope the project will be of interest not only to field naturalists but to other individuals and groups.

Like to fish? Whether you are constantly searching for that elusive trophy or just taking the family out for a fun day of fishing, your observations and experiences are important to us.

Mississippi Valley Conservation (MVC) has partnered with Queen’s University in a research project titled “Fish, Fisheries, and Water Resources: Adapting to Ontario’s Changing Climate”, and invites you to contribute to this groundbreaking work by completing a survey. Results from this research will allow us to gauge past, present, and future resource use, and to make recommendations that will take into consideration social and economic concerns of resource users in relation to local climate change and adaptation. Working closely with resource users and having a better understanding of their willingness to adapt will enable us to provide sound scientific recommendations and management strategies.

We urge you to take some time and contribute your knowledge to this vital initiative; your participation is important to its success. By submitting your completed survey, you could win a two night stay for four at Tumblehome Lodge on Crotch Lake,.

The survey can be accessed at www.mvc.on.ca/program/Survey.html. A hard copy can be picked up at MVC’s Lanark office on Hwy. 511, or mailed to you by contacting Lucian Marcogliese by e-mail at , or by phone at (613) 961-1529.

Funded by Natural Resources Canada, the fisheries survey is one of four subcomponents of the larger Climate Change and Adaptation project which is currently underway.

The study of fish and water resources is an important component of MVC’s Climate Change Adaptation Plan. Through research and input from multiple stakeholders the plan will identify how we can best respond to our changing local climate. Working with our many partners, MVC will work towards the continued health of the watershed by exploring and developing responsive, integrated resource management solutions.

For more information on the survey or MVC’s climate change adaptation project please contact project coordinator Jackie Oblak at or visit our website at www.mvc.on.ca.

Nicole Guthrie
Community Relations Coordinator
Mississippi Valley Conservation

4175 Hwy.511, RR#2
Lanark, Ontario K0G 1K0
t. 613.259.2421 ext.225 f. 613.259.3468
e.

Press Release
Mississippi Valley Field Naturalists
December 2006 
Cliff Bennet Project Co-ordinator

Report on results of Lake and River Water-Temperature Monitoring in the Mississippi Watershed:

Mississippi Valley Field Naturalists carried out a lake and river temperature monitoring program over the August 2006 long weekend as an `Open Doors to Nature Project’in celebration of the 75th Anniversary of Ontario Nature (Federation of Ontario Naturalists). A short report outlining the objectives and results was prepared by Paul Egginton, MVFN.

At the end of December 2006, all of the raw data plus copies of the report were deposited at the offices of Mississippi Valley Conservation in Lanark, and are available for viewing there. The report is also posted here. A final report with additional peripheral data important for putting the survey findings into perspective, will also be posted.

By all counts this project was a great success. We measured our patient’s temperature (the Mississippi Watershed) and found it to be, on the basis of nearly 675 surface-readings (and nearly 1400 readings in all), on average, about 26.4 C. Many scientists are warning that air temperatures will continue to rise. Lake and river temperatures will surely follow and there may be significant impacts on the Mississippi Watershed.

To help us adapt to such change it will be very useful to know whether mid-summer water temperatures do increase in future and at what rate. Our report suggests that there is more work to be done. However, MVFN wishes to sincerely thank all those who encouraged, supported and took part in this water-temperature monitoring effort. Special thanks to Susan Lee of Mississippi Valley Conservation who contributed greatly by providing logistical support for this project.

PDF Icon2007 Report on results of Mississippi Watershed water-temperature monitoring (Adobe Acrobat Reader Required)

PDF IconGraphs and Figures (Adobe Acrobat Reader Required)

 

Alberts Gardens

Planting, emergence, bloom dates and bloom length will be listed on the table below as they become available in 2006..

Tulip Bloom Indicator

Alberts Gardens April 2006 Results

Click to enlarge map

Legend
Blue MarkerThe communities participating in Albert’s Gardens

Green MarkerWhen 20% of the tulips in the community bed emerge

Red MarkerWhen 20% are in bloom

Emergence = green tips showing through snow or soil
Bloom = fully open blooms

Mean Temperature In Ottawa April (1930-2005)Tulips and other flowers are sensitive to local annual climate variations. Many climate variables affect plant growth and flowering, but perhaps the most critical is the temperature during the 3-4 weeks preceding bloom. It is interesting, therefore, to look at a graph of Ottawa’s mean April temperatures from the 1930′s to 2005 (based on climate data from Environment Canada). There is variation from year to year, but a warming trend, which scientists predict will continue, is evident. Tulip bloom dates will likely be influenced by this trend.

Alberts Gardens table – 2006

Albert’s Garden site

Town/city

Planting Date

Date when 20% tulips emerged*

Date when 20% tulips bloomed*

Almonte Fall 2005 March 28 April 27
Athens Fall 2005 March 23 April 26
Bancroft Fall 2005 April 5 May 1
Beachburg Fall 2005 April 1 April 24
Carleton Place Fall 2005 March 28 April 23
Collins Bay Fall 2005 March 29 Not recorded *
Kingston Fall 2005 March 28 Not recorded *
Ottawa Fall 2005 March 26 April 28
Perth Fall 2005 March 28 Not recorded *
Picton Fall 2005 March 27   April 23 *
Renfrew Fall 2005 March 29 April 21
300 bulbs were planted in each garden* Picton: indicates at least 20% of  plants which survived damage by deer at this site
* Collins Bay, Kingston, Perth: deer damaged a significant number of the plants at these sitesEmergence = green tips showing through snow or soil
Bloom = fully open blooms
 
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FULL-SIZED  CALENDAR WITH DETAILS

MVFN natural history talks:  7:30 pm on third Thursdays of Jan, Feb, March, April,  Sept, Oct, and Nov at Almonte United Church, 106 Elgin St. Almonte ON. All welcome! Non-members $5. 

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